In this post in will teach how to plan for retirement . We will use simple tools like Mutual Funds and PPF for building Retirement Corpus . We will also see what are the factors you should take into account when you plan for retirement . There can be other ways of doing this and can be very complex with very advanced calculations . But in this post we will look at it in a very simple way which a common man can understand .
So you are finally deciding to plan for your Retirement . You need to understand following steps .
We will see all the points and also go through an Example Side by side to understand the process . Let say we are taking an example of Ajay who is married and has 2 kids below 6 yrs . He has a monthly salary of Rs 40,000 per month . His age is 32 yrs and he wants to retire at age 60 . Step 1# : Calculating you Current Yearly Expenses Take a piece of paper (do it now , as you read this) and make a note of your expenses, things like Rent , House hold expenses , Children fees etc etc . You should have a rough idea of what is the minimum amount you require per month for living a good life . You should also try to Save a part of your Salary every month , Ask your self , Can you live with 90% of your Salary ? Ajay calculates his expenses. Rent – Rs 10,000 Total Monthly Expenses : Rs 25,000 Other Expenses like Vacations and Surprise Expenses : Rs 50,000 Total Yearly Expenses : Rs 3,50,000 This is the inflation you expect in coming years till your retirement , I calculated the average inflation from last 28 yrs (1990-2008) . the CAGR inflation was 7.3% Source . Considering a better economy in future I expect the inflation over next 20-30 years to be 6-6.5% . Lets take 6.5% . How ever you can assume your numbers , depends on your understanding . Step 3# : How much amount would you require in your Retirement . By this we mean how much money will provide you same standard of living as of today . This will depend on Current Yearly Expenses , Inflation expected over the years and years left for retirement .Just like we require Rs 105 to buy something of cost Rs 100 in 1 yr at 5% inflation . The same way we can cost how much is is needed after X yrs . So formula would be Retirement yearly Expenses = Current Yearly Expenses * (1 + inflation)^(number of years left) Ajay has already calculated his yearly expenses as Rs 3,50,000 . He has 28 more years at hand . He calculates his retirement yearly expenses . Retirement Expenses = 3,50,000 * (1+ .065)^28 Now one can tweak this figure depending on weather you want to have a more better lifestyle than earning years or more simpler life . You can decrease it or increase it to the quantum of your compromise . You wont have to compromise on your Retirement if you are a Early Investor. Step 4# : Finally coming up with the corpus you would need at the retirement. Here you may want to receive the monthly income for whole of your life and preserve the capital for your Children or any nominee . So you need a corpus which if you put in Bank or invest in some “guaranteed return fund” , you should get an amount per year which is equal to your Expected Expenses per year . So suppose you expect to get a return of 7% per year . Then you need X amount at the end where 7% of X is = your yearly expenses . Corpus needed = (Monthly Expenses)/(interest expected ) So in the case of Ajay , the yearly expenses expected was Rs 20,40,000 and return expected is 7% . so we the amount required for Retirement is 20,40,000 / .07 = 2,91,00,000 (2.91 crores) . Note : You can also buy an Annuity for a fixed number of years till when you want to receive the income ( which also means you should have an idea of when will you die , which is not easy ) . So for example if you want to receive the the monthly Income till you are Age 80 (for 20 yrs) . The following formula will be used . See this Video or this article on Net Present Value to understand the calculations and Concept . PVA = A * [ {(1+r)^n -1} / { r * (1+r)^n } ] Where PVA = Present value of Annuity (Amount you need to have at your retirement) So at the end of this , you will have the Amount you need for your Retirement . Step 5# : Calculating how much you should save per month Here comes the interesting part , Here there are two things
Both are related to each other. If you expect more return , then you need to invest less every month and if you can afford to invest more every month , you need to generate less returns for your investments . So which is the better way ? What should you decide first ? The returns expected or monthly contribution you can make ? . I would recommend the other way , better we first decide how much we can invest per month, because that is what we can control better way . We cant control returns !! . I have this monthly contribution calculator to calculate how much you need to put every month to generate Rs X after Y years if you expect R returns , please feed these inputs there and get your numbers , To understand how its calculated you can see this video which explains some important formula’s in Financial Planning . So here is the process
You can also go the other way deciding how much return you can generate and based on that how much you need to save . But i prefer the first way because then you control things in your hand . but you can go the other way too . So our friend Ajay has a saving of Rs 15,000 at the moment (40,000 – 25,000) . And he thinks that he can easily invest 10,000 per month at least over a long term . So the return he needs to generate per year CAGR for 28 yrs to generate his retirement corpus of 2,91,000,00 comes out to be 12.25% , see the calculator mentioned above . So now you got to know how much you need to get per year in returns . Step 6# : Understanding Where to invest it
House hold expenses – Rs 11,000
Medical Expenses : 1,000
Entertainment and outing : Rs 3,000
Yearly living Expenses : Rs 3,00,000 (12 * 25,000)
Step 2# : Understanding how much Inflation would be there in coming years
= 20,40,000 (20.4 lacs approx) .
r= Rate of interest you expect to get
n = Number of years you want the Yearly Income .
Do you calculations online just now Here OR download the excel sheet Here
Understand the ground Rules
- Higher the return expected , higher the risk you need to take
- More the Tenure , Lower the risk
Above 15% : Direct Stocks , Sectoral Mutual Funds , Equity Diversified Mutual Funds
10-15% : Equity Diversified Mutual funds , Balanced Funds
8-10% : Mix of Balanced Funds Debt Funds
Less than 8% : FD’s , PPF , Debt Funds , Balanced Funds [ find out which FD is best ]
However , If the tenure is more than 10 yrs , you should always go for Equity Funds . Never go for FD’s or Debt funds if your tenure is long enough , Understand the Chemistry of Equity and Debt please .
So in our Example of Ajay , he requires a return of 12.3% CAGR in 28 yrs, so for this , he can invest in Equity Mutual funds through SIP , he has different ways to achieve this like Doing a SIP in 3 Equity mutual funds OR combination of PPF (25%) and SIP in mutual funds (75%) OR Direct Equity (5-10%) + PPF + Some Balanced Funds . You got to be creative in this
, there are endless ways of doing it .
Conclusion : Here you go !! , you just did your Retirement Planning
. You can do your retirement planning yourself easily , A financial planner will look into more details and will do perfect planning for you which would be best, But this is pretty much great way you can adopt your self . Involve yourself in this journey of Financial planning and you will be amazed to find how much Fun it is .
Please comment on how did you like the post and what do you think can be an additional step of Retirement Planning .
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Hey Manish, nice summary with detailed inputs. I am sure it will help a lot of people out there!
thanks for this great article again!
hey manish nice article.
lemme share something which i read in EcoTimes Investment Guide(I m telling u vaguely as i remember it vaguely)
in that they advised to invest d dividends in PPF.. and dividends and PPF interest are tax free so ur investment curve goes up like an exponential function.they calculated therein how dividends of Rs.2 lacs bcom Rs 25lacs in 20 yrs horizon.they said they had uploaded the portfolio on the website. they called it 'hybrid investing'..
Hi,
Once again good one.
I recently read an article on rediff. It 2 plans to help you buy low and sell high
I tried reading through the article a few times, but I get confused everytime.
Do you think this can be an effective way to manage investment in equity over a long period of time.
http://www.rediff.com/cms/print.jsp?docpath=//money/2008/sep/22perfin.htm
Regards
Yogesh Tiwari
@Mohan Thanks
@Nikhil Hmm… Ultimately it would be some kind of logical investing which we talk about here at jagoinvestor , can you share more on this , try to find out more
@Yogi I saw the link , and at the end, its nothing but the portfolio rebalancing in one form or the other .
You can choose any way , choosing something is important
, not what you choose .
manish
when one takes inflation into acccount, one shud consider CPI inflation and not WPI.
@Nikhil
I agree with you , Do you know where can i get the statistical data on CPI ?
Manish
u can get it from RBI website or any news website or u can google it.
Eye opening article about the planning before the retirement
Look forward more articles from you Manish
@Nikhil
Thanks
@Devon
Thanks , Which other articles you are looking forward to ?
Manish
"Hi,
Thanks for article about retirement planning this could supposively help people to live their live happily & king size. Here is an online tool which I would also like to recommend you which helps people to plan insurance according to their need & budget especially in retirement plans. It also helps you to calculate pension which you would gets after retirement.
Please check this out at http://www.simpleinsurance.co.in/"
@Mohammad
thanks for sharing that tool . Its very nice
Manish
Hi Muhamed/Manish,
I think you need check this out.
====================
Let us put the Rs.2,000 per month in a bank fixed deposit (FD) at a nominal 8% interest compounded annually. That makes Rs.24,000 annual investment in FD. For the next 30 years, let us assume that the interest rate remains constant at 8%. The Rs.24,000 per annum investment at 8% will accumulate to Rs.29.36 lakhs.
This amount (Rs.29.36 lakhs) if reinvested again in FD at 8% interest will give annual interest of Rs.2.35 lakhs or a monthly interest of Rs.19,575 for life. Now compare with this the Rs.15,315 per month ICICI's Retirement Plan. The FD comprehensively beats the returns of ICICI by a massive Rs.4,260 per month (21.8% more). And don't forget that the FD return is more or less guaranteed where as ICICI's 10% return in risky and market dependent (it could be less, or more). Also, the accumulated Rs.29.36 lakhs is preserved for passing on to the next generation
===========================
Courtesy:Deepak Shenoy http://blog.investraction.com/2009/09/fds-or-government-bonds-better-than.html
@Yogi
yeah ..i had a look at it .. thanks a lot for sharing this ..
I will try to write something about this with equities flavor
Manish
Hi Manish…
Good article.
But one major doubt / uncertaintly while calculating and that is the assumption of Inflation rate and interest rate (of deposit).
How to calculate how much the deposit interest rate. Whether it will be at part with inflation of below or above??
Also one more is what abt inflation after retirement??
Regards
In the above comment, i refer to the interest rate on deposit at the time of retirement (i.e. interest rate on retirement corpus generated after 25/30 years)
Manish ji,
in your example, u hv calculated corpus needed at the age of 60 i.e. 2.91 cr. U hv assumed rate of return after retirement as 7%. and this 7 % interest will be used for living expences. But after 60 yrs also, there will be inflation (for ex 6.5%), and hence corpus should also grow by at least 6.5 % per year to take care of inflation.. pl guide.. chandu
@Brij
You can take deposit rate at 8% and inflation at 6,5% (average of last 25 yrs)
@Chandu
Yes, you are correct .. There monthly income should also expand as per inflation .. At retirement they can structure things in such a way that the income they get also goes up as per the inflation ..
Manish
pl explain how ? …. chandu
@Chandu
Suppose your money is in Debt funds , you can use SWP option and withdraw your money inline with your expenses . There are laddering techniques used with products which can device a strategy which can provide you income by keeping in mind the inflation
This can get advanced . The main idea is this .. if you have 10 rs and 4 yrs in hand , you can take out 2.5 ,2.5 , 2.5 , 2.5 or
1,2,3,4
you can decide if its increaseing or decreasing .
Manish
After reading the article, i just cant wait to tella big THANK U to u….
Thanks man….
keep posting ….
Thanks Raj
Keep commenting
.. Are you going to implement these steps for you or some one else .. Was it easy to understand
Manish
Hi,
I am not clear where to invest the money for retirement I am 31 yr old
Krishna
If you look back at article , i have discussed that
Above 15% : Direct Stocks , Sectoral Mutual Funds , Equity Diversified Mutual Funds
10-15% : Equity Diversified Mutual funds , Balanced Funds
8-10% : Mix of Balanced Funds Debt Funds
Less than 8% : FD’s , PPF , Debt Funds , Balanced Funds
So the thing is that you are young and you have time and risk appetite to invest in equities .. like Direct shares (not recommended for newcomers) , equity mutual funds . ETF , Real estate , Index funds
Manish
Great Post!
Here is another guide to saving retirement money.
http://www.myallstatefinancial.com/financial/articles-and-guides/make-retirement-plan-that-works.aspx
Hope this helps!
Kevin N
Allstate Advocate
Kevin
thanks for the points ..
Manish