6 Steps of doing Retirement Planning by yourself

July 21, 2009 · 53 comments

In this post I will teach on how to plan for retirement. We will use simple tools like Mutual Funds and PPF for building Retirement Corpus. We will also see what factors you should take into account when you plan for retirement. There can be other ways of doing this and it can be very complex with very advanced calculation. But in this post we will look at it in a very simple way which a common man can understand.

So you are finally deciding to plan for your Retirement. You need to understand following steps:

  • How much is your Current Yearly Expenses
  • How much will be average Inflation figure for the coming years
  • How much would you need at your Retirement
  • Finally coming up with the corpus you would need at the retirement
  • Calculating how much you should save per month
  • Understanding where to invest the money

We will see all the above points in detail and go through some examples side by side to understand the process in well. Let say we are taking an example of Ajay who is married and has 2 kids below the age of 6 yrs. He has a monthly salary of Rs 40,000 per month. His age is 32 yrs and he wants to retire at age 60.

Step 1: Calculating you Current Yearly Expenses

Take a piece of paper (do it now as you read this) and make a note of your expenses, things like Rent, House hold expenses, Children fees etc etc. You should have a rough idea of what is the minimum amount you require per month for living a good life. You should also try to save a part of your salary every month, Ask your self Can you live with 90% of your Salary ?

Ajay calculates his expenses:

Rent – Rs 10,000
House hold expenses – Rs 11,000
Medical Expenses : 1,000
Entertainment and outing : Rs 3,000

Total Monthly Expenses : Rs 25,000
Yearly living Expenses : Rs 3,00,000 (12 * 25,000)

Other Expenses like Vacations and Surprise Expenses : Rs 50,000

Total Yearly Expenses : Rs 3,50,000

Step 2 : Understanding how much Inflation would be there in coming years

This is the inflation you expect in coming years till your retirement. I calculated the average inflation from last 28 yrs (1990-2008). The CAGR inflation was 7.3% Source. Considering a better economy in future I expect the inflation over next 20-30 years to be 6-6.5%. Lets take 6.5% for our calculations here. However you can assume your own rate as it depends on your understanding.

Step 3 : How much amount would you require in your Retirement

By this we mean how much money will provide you same standard of living as of today. This will depend on the Current Yearly Expenses, inflation expected over the years and years left for retirement. Just like we require Rs 105 to buy something of cost Rs 100 in 1 yr at 5% inflation. The same way we can cost how much is is needed after X yrs. So formula would be

Retirement yearly Expenses = Current Yearly Expenses * (1 + inflation)^(number of years left)

Ajay has already calculated his yearly expenses as Rs 3,50,000. He has 28 more years at hand . He calculates his retirement yearly expenses

Retirement Expenses = 3,50,000 * (1+ .065)^28
= 20,40,000 (20.4 lacs approx)

Now one can tweak this figure depending on whether you want to have higher standard of lifestyle than now (earning years) or more simpler life. You can decrease it or increase it to the quantum of your compromise. You won’t have to compromise on your Retirement if you are a Early Investor.

Step 4 : Finally coming up with the corpus you would need at the retirement

Here you may want to receive the monthly income for whole of your life and preserve the capital for your Children or any nominee. So you need a corpus which if you put in Bank or invest in some “guaranteed return fund”, you should get an amount per year which is equal to your Expected Expenses per year.

So suppose you expect to get a return of 7% per year. Then you need X amount at the end where 7% of X is = your yearly expenses.

Corpus needed = (Monthly Expenses)/(interest expected )

So in the case of Ajay the yearly expenses expected was Rs 20,40,000 and return expected is 7%. So we calculated the amount required for Retirement that is 20,40,000 / .07 = 2,91,00,000 (2.91 crores).

Note: You can also buy an Annuity for a fixed number of years till when you want to receive the income (which also means you should have an idea of when will you die, which is not easy). So for example if you want to receive the the monthly Income till you are Age 80 (for 20 yrs). The following formula will be used. See this Video or this article on Net Present Value to understand the calculations and Concept.

PVA = A * [ {(1+r)^n -1} / { r * (1+r)^n } ]

Where

PVA = Present value of Annuity (Amount you need to have at your retirement)
r= Rate of interest you expect to get
n = Number of years you want the Yearly Income .

So at the end of this, you will have the Amount you need for your Retirement.
Do you calculations online just now Here OR download the excel sheet Here.

Step 5: Calculating how much you should save per month

Here comes the interesting part, here there are two things

  • How much Return you expect to earn in long term
  • How much you can afford to invest per month

Both are related to each other. If you expect more return, then you need to invest less every month and if you can afford to invest more every month, you need to generate less returns for your investments.

So which is the better way? What should you decide first? The returns expected or monthly contribution you can make? I would recommend the other way, better we first decide how much we can invest per month, because that is what we can control better way. We cant control returns !! I have this monthly contribution calculator to calculate how much you need to put every month to generate Rs X after Y years if you expect R returns, please feed these inputs there and get your numbers. To understand how its calculated you can see this video which explains some important formula’s in Financial Planning.

So here is the process

  • You figure out how much you can save
  • Then you find out how much return you need to generate
  • Then you decide where to invest to generate that return

You can also go the other way deciding how much return you can generate and based on that how much you need to save. But I prefer the first way because then you control things in your hand but you can go the other way too.

So our friend Ajay has a saving of Rs 15,000 at the moment (40,000 – 25,000) And he thinks that he can easily invest 10,000 per month at least over a long term. So the return he needs to generate per year CAGR for 28 yrs to generate his retirement corpus of 2,91,000,00 comes out to be 12.25%, see the calculator mentioned above.

So now you got to know how much you need to get per year in returns.

Step 6 : Understanding Where to invest it

This is the last step as per our article. So you got the CAGR return number which you need to generate over a long term. This number will decide how much risk can you take and where can you invest depending on your time frame. See below to understand which are the suitable products you can invest to get your returns.

Understand the ground Rules

  • Higher the return expected, higher the risk you need to take
  • More the Tenure, Lower the risk

Above 15% : Direct Stocks, Sectoral Mutual Funds, Equity Diversified Mutual Funds
10-15% : Equity Diversified Mutual funds, Balanced Funds
8-10% : Mix of Balanced Funds Debt Funds
Less than 8% : FDs, PPF, Debt Funds, Balanced Funds [ find out which FD is best ]

However, if the tenure is more than 10 yrs you should always go for Equity Funds. Never go for FDs or Debt funds if your tenure is long enough. Understand the Chemistry of Equity and Debt please.

So in our Example of Ajay, he requires a return of 12.3% CAGR in 28 yrs, so for this, he can invest in Equity Mutual funds through SIP he has different ways to achieve this like Doing a SIP in 3 Equity mutual funds OR combination of PPF (25%) and SIP in mutual funds (75%) OR Direct Equity (5-10%) + PPF + Some Balanced Funds. You got to be creative in this :) , there are endless ways of doing it.

Conclusion : Here you go!!, you just did your Retirement Planning :) . You can do your retirement planning yourself easily. A financial planner will look into more details and will do perfect planning for you which would be best but this is pretty much great way you can adopt your self. Involve yourself in this journey of Financial planning and you will be amazed to find how much Fun it is.

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{ 44 comments… read them below or add one }

1 Mohan July 24, 2009 at 12:56 am

Hey Manish, nice summary with detailed inputs. I am sure it will help a lot of people out there!

thanks for this great article again!

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2 Nikhil July 24, 2009 at 1:46 pm

hey manish nice article.
lemme share something which i read in EcoTimes Investment Guide(I m telling u vaguely as i remember it vaguely)
in that they advised to invest d dividends in PPF.. and dividends and PPF interest are tax free so ur investment curve goes up like an exponential function.they calculated therein how dividends of Rs.2 lacs bcom Rs 25lacs in 20 yrs horizon.they said they had uploaded the portfolio on the website. they called it 'hybrid investing'..

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3 Yogi July 24, 2009 at 9:49 pm

Hi,
Once again good one.
I recently read an article on rediff. It 2 plans to help you buy low and sell high
I tried reading through the article a few times, but I get confused everytime.
Do you think this can be an effective way to manage investment in equity over a long period of time.

http://www.rediff.com/cms/print.jsp?docpath=//money/2008/sep/22perfin.htm

Regards
Yogesh Tiwari

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4 Manish Chauhan July 27, 2009 at 5:47 am

@Mohan Thanks

@Nikhil Hmm… Ultimately it would be some kind of logical investing which we talk about here at jagoinvestor , can you share more on this , try to find out more :)

@Yogi I saw the link , and at the end, its nothing but the portfolio rebalancing in one form or the other .

You can choose any way , choosing something is important :) , not what you choose .

manish

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5 Nikhil August 13, 2009 at 7:15 am

when one takes inflation into acccount, one shud consider CPI inflation and not WPI.

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6 Manish Chauhan August 14, 2009 at 3:22 am

@Nikhil

I agree with you , Do you know where can i get the statistical data on CPI ?

Manish

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7 Nikhil August 14, 2009 at 4:25 am

u can get it from RBI website or any news website or u can google it.

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8 Davon August 15, 2009 at 11:37 am

Eye opening article about the planning before the retirement
Look forward more articles from you Manish

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9 Manish Chauhan August 15, 2009 at 11:58 am

@Nikhil

Thanks

@Devon

Thanks , Which other articles you are looking forward to ?

Manish

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10 Mohammad September 7, 2009 at 6:59 am

"Hi,
Thanks for article about retirement planning this could supposively help people to live their live happily & king size. Here is an online tool which I would also like to recommend you which helps people to plan insurance according to their need & budget especially in retirement plans. It also helps you to calculate pension which you would gets after retirement.
Please check this out at ;

Reply

11 Manish Chauhan September 10, 2009 at 12:46 am

@Mohammad

thanks for sharing that tool . Its very nice :)

Manish

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12 Yogi September 10, 2009 at 8:17 pm

Hi Muhamed/Manish,

I think you need check this out.

====================
Let us put the Rs.2,000 per month in a bank fixed deposit (FD) at a nominal 8% interest compounded annually. That makes Rs.24,000 annual investment in FD. For the next 30 years, let us assume that the interest rate remains constant at 8%. The Rs.24,000 per annum investment at 8% will accumulate to Rs.29.36 lakhs.
This amount (Rs.29.36 lakhs) if reinvested again in FD at 8% interest will give annual interest of Rs.2.35 lakhs or a monthly interest of Rs.19,575 for life. Now compare with this the Rs.15,315 per month ICICI's Retirement Plan. The FD comprehensively beats the returns of ICICI by a massive Rs.4,260 per month (21.8% more). And don't forget that the FD return is more or less guaranteed where as ICICI's 10% return in risky and market dependent (it could be less, or more). Also, the accumulated Rs.29.36 lakhs is preserved for passing on to the next generation
===========================

Courtesy:Deepak Shenoy http://blog.investraction.com/2009/09/fds-or-government-bonds-better-than.html

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13 Manish Chauhan September 11, 2009 at 3:15 pm

@Yogi

yeah ..i had a look at it .. thanks a lot for sharing this .. :)

I will try to write something about this with equities flavor :)

Manish

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14 Brij October 29, 2009 at 11:31 am

Hi Manish…
Good article.
But one major doubt / uncertaintly while calculating and that is the assumption of Inflation rate and interest rate (of deposit).
How to calculate how much the deposit interest rate. Whether it will be at part with inflation of below or above??
Also one more is what abt inflation after retirement??
Regards

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15 Brij October 29, 2009 at 11:42 am

In the above comment, i refer to the interest rate on deposit at the time of retirement (i.e. interest rate on retirement corpus generated after 25/30 years)

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16 Anonymous October 30, 2009 at 7:32 am

Manish ji,
in your example, u hv calculated corpus needed at the age of 60 i.e. 2.91 cr. U hv assumed rate of return after retirement as 7%. and this 7 % interest will be used for living expences. But after 60 yrs also, there will be inflation (for ex 6.5%), and hence corpus should also grow by at least 6.5 % per year to take care of inflation.. pl guide.. chandu

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17 Manish Chauhan October 30, 2009 at 2:55 pm

@Brij

You can take deposit rate at 8% and inflation at 6,5% (average of last 25 yrs)

@Chandu

Yes, you are correct .. There monthly income should also expand as per inflation .. At retirement they can structure things in such a way that the income they get also goes up as per the inflation ..

Manish

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18 Anonymous October 31, 2009 at 6:23 am

pl explain how ? …. chandu

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19 Manish Chauhan October 31, 2009 at 6:51 am

@Chandu

Suppose your money is in Debt funds , you can use SWP option and withdraw your money inline with your expenses . There are laddering techniques used with products which can device a strategy which can provide you income by keeping in mind the inflation

This can get advanced . The main idea is this .. if you have 10 rs and 4 yrs in hand , you can take out 2.5 ,2.5 , 2.5 , 2.5 or

1,2,3,4

you can decide if its increaseing or decreasing .

Manish

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20 rk December 31, 2009 at 5:35 pm

After reading the article, i just cant wait to tella big THANK U to u….
Thanks man….
keep posting ….

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21 manish December 31, 2009 at 5:40 pm

Thanks Raj

Keep commenting :) .. Are you going to implement these steps for you or some one else .. Was it easy to understand :)

Manish

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22 Krishna January 26, 2010 at 7:39 pm

Hi,

I am not clear where to invest the money for retirement I am 31 yr old

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23 manish January 28, 2010 at 8:21 pm

Krishna

If you look back at article , i have discussed that

Above 15% : Direct Stocks , Sectoral Mutual Funds , Equity Diversified Mutual Funds
10-15% : Equity Diversified Mutual funds , Balanced Funds
8-10% : Mix of Balanced Funds Debt Funds
Less than 8% : FD’s , PPF , Debt Funds , Balanced Funds

So the thing is that you are young and you have time and risk appetite to invest in equities .. like Direct shares (not recommended for newcomers) , equity mutual funds . ETF , Real estate , Index funds

Manish

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24 kevin February 2, 2010 at 2:09 am

Great Post!

Here is another guide to saving retirement money.
http://www.myallstatefinancial.com/financial/articles-and-guides/make-retirement-plan-that-works.aspx

Hope this helps!

Kevin N
Allstate Advocate

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25 Manish Chauhan February 2, 2010 at 9:20 pm

Kevin

thanks for the points ..

Manish

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26 Arvind March 27, 2010 at 10:33 pm

Hi Manish,

I would like to get a return of 10-12% to build my retirement corpus. Can you share your opinion on the following options for creating my corpus:

option 1: PPF/govt bonds – One of the posts (http://blog.investraction.com/2009/09/fds-or-government-bonds-better-than.html) outlined the advantages of govt. bonds over a ULIP pension plan

option 2: ULIP pension Plan

Option 3: Equity diversified MF

It would be great if you could tell me the difference between ULIP pension plans and Equity diversified MF, when it comes to RETIREMENT PLANNING.

Thanks,
Arvind

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27 Manish Chauhan March 28, 2010 at 2:25 pm

Arvind

Deepak is correct , dont get into retirement plans by insurance companies .. there are better thigns you can do with your money . Buy Term + Equity Funds + ETF’s

Manish

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28 Avi April 27, 2010 at 8:14 pm

Manish,

I have recently started visiting your website and I think you are doing an awesome job. Keep up the good work man! I have been learning a lot from your website.

I do have a couple of questions and I was wondering what yours (and other peoples’) thoughts are on this -

1. Over a longer period of 15-20+ years (for retirement planning), it is often debated that fund managers would find it difficult to beat ETF/Index funds’ returns. Do you think then it doesn’t make much sense for people to try to figure out which are the good/better/best Equity Diversified funds and instead they should just choose one or two low cost index funds (for nifty and maybe another one for the small/midcap index) and continue investing? Would that portfolio possibly perform better than say a portfolio of HDFC Top 200, DSPBR Top 100 and Sundaram Select Midcap over a period of 20+ years?
The other way to look at it is, let’s say I begin with the above portfolio and every few years whenever (and if) these funds become laggards, I gradually move onto other top performers and continue following this approach with SIPs till retirement. Will this prove to be better than the index fund portfolio?

2. Also, in light of your other post related to trail commissions and their impact on mutual fund returns (this should probably be in the comment section of the trail commission post but I thought my questions were related so here it is), are we then saying that it makes all the more sense to go the index fund route especially since equity diversified mutual funds will prove costlier in anycase.
I am very much interested in knowing how do ULIPs compare to MFs in terms of costs, I believe you are planning on writing up a post on that sometime. Though a part of me says, regardless of the fact that MFs may prove to be costlier in the long run compared to ULIPs, I would still prefer a product that is simple, understandable and can be handled by most lay investors.

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29 Manish Chauhan April 28, 2010 at 9:32 am

Avi

1) No matter what the major thing which helps you get returns is consistency in investing , your discipline, and your asset allocation + rebalancing ,fund selection comes later, in india active mutual funds will get you more than ETF’s for some more years , unlike US our stock markets are yet to become mature , only then will active managed fund will find it too difficult to beat ETF’s / index funds , till then good active funds like HDFC top 200 should beat index by a good margin .

you can take any approach , choose good MF and churn the portfolio every 2-3 yrs after a review , or stick to a low cost ETF or index fund .

2) Index fund can be choosen in which case there will be less work to be done by you , with active funds your work of review and tracking increases , so it depends on what you want to do . I would say stick to MF , if advice from advisor is great , no problem paying him .

Manish

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30 Praveen Kumar June 12, 2010 at 12:55 pm

Dear Mr Manish,

It is a great pleasure and learning experience that we receive when i go thorugh ur blog. U cannot imagin what great difference ur blog is making to the lives of thousands readers and their generations to come. I am an engineer by profession and was never intrested into personal finances, Hence when i read ur blog i feel i am left way behind in planning my financial requirement. I therefore humbly request u to please guide me in setting up my financial investment for my future.
Profession Engineer, Private Org, Age 42, Children one boy- 2 yrs old.
Saving LIC policy-2 nos, One Jeevan shree- 6681- QTY premium,10 yrs old. 25 yrs. other Endowment Policy- 10780 Qty Premium, 6 yr old, 25 yrs.now which i am seriously thinking of surrending after reading ur blog.
I can save upto 25,000 per month. Goals, son’s education, marriage and my regular income post retirement.

Pls guide me.

Thanks a lot.

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31 Manish Chauhan June 12, 2010 at 3:45 pm

Praveen

Thanks for your kind words ,I am glad you are recognising the importance of planning things . However you should understand that financial planning is not limited to 2 line suggestions . Its a combination of too many things, It will take time and effort to understand your requirements , your goals and how to plan for it .
For basic guidance , you can look at surrending your existing insurance , take proper term insurance , plan for your each goal seperately using the calculators I have provided .

Manish

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32 Sunil December 24, 2010 at 12:47 pm

To all,
When we think about safe investment NSC and PPF comes into picture!!
But every one forget about Jeevan Saral which claims to be 10% compounded return on every premium, if you stay invested for 12 years minimum. This is what every LIC division suggests agents to propose the same in brochures..
And of course you get additional benefit of death and accident benefits too..

The risk is loyalty addition may vary results in 8.5 to 9%( greater than NSC etc) return but based on LIC profit making business, the above return is very much possible.
Please post your views on these.

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33 Manish Chauhan December 24, 2010 at 4:53 pm

Sunil

No i dont think so Jeevan Saral gives 10% returns , I am trying to do a review soon on this . Its just an illustration that they show on 10% . Try asking this on forum : http://www.jagoinvestor.com/forum/

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34 Balaji January 2, 2011 at 5:37 pm

Hi Manish,

Thanks very much for the article. It is really a eye-opener.I have planned a retirement corpus of 2.5 cr by the time I retire @ age 60 which is 28 years away.My retirement corpus consists of :

1. EPF : Rs. 94,25,000 ( EPF of Rs. 24,032 p.a @ 9% returns p.a with my income increasing by 8% annually for 28 yrs )
2. PPF : Rs.6,16,000 ( Rs, 12,000 p.a for 28 yrs @8% pa )
3. Mutual funds : Rs 1,50,00,000 ( Rs.5,500 per month via SIP, @12 % returns for 28 yrs )

I have the following questions:
1. Do u think the asset allocation mix is right? Or, do i have to invest in Real estate ( right now i am living in chennai, house being jointly owned by 4 of us in the family. I would most probably buy a house in 5 years time in chennai itself )
2.Do i have to increase the equity allocation?
3.What is the most appropriate mix of mutual funds ( my risk appetite is moderate )?
4.Do i have to sell all my mutual funds,close EPF and PPF accounts after 28 years, or, should I sell/close those in a phased manner ?

Awaiting for your valuable comments..

Regards
Balaji

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35 Manish Chauhan January 4, 2011 at 2:34 pm

Balaji

You are investing in the ratio of approx 60:40 in equity : debt . I am not sure of your age , but considering you are around 30 , you should increase your equity to 80% , Dont do PPF investment as your EPF will be compulsory .

Manish

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36 jyoti February 19, 2011 at 8:11 pm

Hi

I want to know the where to invest section clearly what is above 15% n all.

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37 Manish Chauhan February 19, 2011 at 9:30 pm

your querstion is not clear

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38 Raju April 8, 2011 at 3:59 pm

I am raju 41 yrs old getting income from my salary Rs.50000 pm
my savings are 1) LIC Rs.31000/- p.a and 2) PPP/SBI Rs.12000/- p.a.
I can save upto Rs.15000/- to 20000/-p.m
can you guide me where I have to investment
my details are: self 41 yrs, Wife 40 yrs Daughters 11 yrs and 4 yrs

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39 Manish Chauhan April 9, 2011 at 11:45 am

Raju

Seems like you are heavy on Debt products from many years which means you dont have much in your equity portfolio , Its not a great hting . Try to now start investing in equity mutual funds with focus on loong term .

Manish

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40 P R Kumar October 9, 2011 at 1:46 pm

Hi Manish

Can you please review Tata Retirement Savings Fund?

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41 Manish Chauhan October 10, 2011 at 11:25 am

PR

Thanks for asking the question . For the best answer , I think it would be best if you can ask it on our forum . There are dozens of experts waiting to help you , I will also try to put my answers there , so that others can also benefit from your question. http://www.jagoinvestor.com/forum/

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42 Manish Chauhan October 10, 2011 at 12:02 pm
43 Srinivasan October 13, 2011 at 5:48 pm

Where nice article, thank you.
In you retirement claculator, to calculate the need to save monthly, in formula you have divided Return you can generate (ideally take 11-12%) by 1200. Where did this 1200 come from.
=(B11*(B8/1200))/((1+B8/1200) * (1+B8/1200) ^(12*B4) -1)

Regards
Srini

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44 Manish Chauhan October 14, 2011 at 11:05 am

Srinivasan

Its compounded monthly , thats the reason we are dividing it by 12 and multiypluing the tenure by 12 , as its percentage so we are also divinding by 100 more .. so

Manish

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