POSTED BY May 2, 2012 COMMENTS (128)ON
How would you judge whether you have scored good marks in an exam? How do you define “good”? If you had very very easy test and most of the questions were easy, would you call 80/100 a great score? NO! . In the same way, if the exam was very very tough and made everyone cry, but you scored 75/100. Would you call it a great score then? Yes! So the point I want to make is there’s always a benchmark in any area to decide if the performance was good or bad. If you have done better than the benchmark, you did well, else you did bad. This is exactly how mutual funds are to be judged. You can’t just say a mutual fund has performed bad or good based on the returns it has given in a time frame.
Each and every mutual fund has a mandate and rule defined on where will it invest and in what proportion. Like if a mutual fund says that it will invest in all the large cap companies in India, then its benchmark would be mostly NIFTY, because NIFTY is the indicator of the large cap companies. And the whole point of investing in a large cap mutual fund is that it should give you better returns then NIFTY because you can always invest in NIFTY and get the returns without any fees or risk. So only if a large cap equity mutual fund beats NIFTY, you can say that it performed Good. Because if it does not then it has performed badly even after you paying him the fees, what’s the point of paying the fees and getting returns lesser than the Index which gives you some returns anyways.
In the same way a Small Cap Mutual Fund would have CNX MID CAP. One can just buy that Index and get returns from it based on the movement of the stocks in that benchmark. A mutual funds tries to take a call on what stocks to select and when to get rid of them to generate superior results and only if it can beat its benchmark, we can say that the mutual fund performed better that it’s benchmark.
So in any mutual fund, there is a benchmark and you can say that the mutual fund performed good or bad in a time frame only if the returns from mutual fund is better than its benchmark for that particular period. Now based on this very simple rule, lets see some cases. In the last few years, stock markets have performed badly. This bad performance from markets will obviously affect mutual funds performance too. So if a mutual fund has not given double digit returns, can we conclude that mutual funds are bad investments? No.
Sandeep asked a question related to this
I was told that HDFC Top 200 is an excellent fund . But I invested around 50,000 in that fund last year and now my fund value is near 46,000 . Is this fund really good ?
This kind of questions come to all the investor’s mind, this happen when you dont know how exactly you should judge a mutual fund’s performance. The only way here to say is HDFC Top 200 did good or bad in last 1 yrs is to see if its return is more than its benchmark or less than its benchmark and to what extent?
HDFC Top 200 example
If you look at HDFC Top 200 returns in last 1 yrs from today (27th Apr 2012) , its return has been -9.8% . Now anyone hearing that kind of return will scream – “Oh .. thats really bad” . But when you look at its benchmark (which is BSE 200) , you can see that its benchmark has given around -12.06% So you can clearly see that HDFC Top 200 has outperformed its benchmark by 2.26% which means that it has done a better job.
Note that mutual funds have stocks as the underlying assets in which they invest, so mutual funds performance will depend totally on stock markets performance and in last 5 yrs, its not mutual funds which have performed badly, its actually stock markets, Mutual funds just mimick the portfolio’s in some manner and the real parameter of how good or bad they have done is to see how they have performed compared to the risk-free benchmark they are following.
Now coming back to the same example of HDFC Top 200 , it has given around 22.6% returns CAGR in last 3 yrs , but its benchmark (BSE 200) return was just 16.2% , hence you can say that HDFC Top 200 has done a good job and outperformed its benchmark by 6.2% on yearly basis, thats really a good number.
Escorts Tax Plan Example
Now lets look at 5 yrs performance of a tax saving fund called Escorts Tax Plan , The fund has give -15% return on absolute level in last 5 yrs (1 lac became 85,000) and an agent can say – “Sir – markets were doing badly in the same time, thats the reason the fund has given bad return’s , in future it would do great” . In this case all you need to ask is – “Fine, I can understand that market performance affects fund performance, but has it performed better than the risk-free benchmark it was following ? “
If you look at its benchmark “Nifty”, it has given 24% positive return in the same period. Means that the fund has performed worse than the index which is totally free, while the fund has not performed even after bring run by professional fund managers. Then whats the use of that fund.
So now you have a simple rule to judge a mutual fund performance
Note that the duration should be good enough like more than 1 yr atleast to say anything and the gap between the fund performance and benchmark performance should also be considerable. You can say that a fund was bad just because its returns were 8% and benchmark was 7.8%. that is very much close and does not conclude much.
Now a fairly good way of choosing a mutual fund is just based on how it has performed in last many years compared to its benchmark. So I am putting up some top funds which has done very good compared to its benchmark
Following is some of the very good potential mutual funds for 2012 and they are really doing good overall . Lets see their returns overall for 5 yr and 3 yr timeframe along with their benchmark returns. You can see some funds outperformed their benchmarks with huge margins . For example Quantum Long term equity fund has return 28.38% in 3 yrs compared to just 14.78% from its benchmark which is Sensex . Thats 100% more , really brilliant .
So overall the learning is that if you want to find out some good performing mutual funds , you should be looking if a mutual fund has outperformed its benchmark over several years with a good enough margin or not . If it has consistently done that , you can be clear that the fund management is going well .
How often do you look into benchmark ? What else do you think should be looked at while judging mutual funds ?